Likud
Led by Benjamin Netanyahu
Projection from the count so far · Estimate · Current
Updated 02:05 from the count file of 01:51 · Checked: Oct 29, 02:05 Israel time
Source
One coherent 120-seat allocation; uncertainty ranges are separate.
- 27
- Projection from the count so far Estimate
- 32
- Seats in 2022 23.4% of the vote
- 9 of 9
- Campaign record · Polls it passes never near the threshold
- 53 seats
- Netanyahu bloc 8 short of 61; this list is the largest of 5 in the bloc
Campaign record: Average over the latest poll from each of 9 pollsters, Oct 20 to Oct 23, 2026, weighted by sample size and scaled to 120 seats. Without Channel 14 and i24NEWS, the two the site’s alternative average leaves out: 19.7. 2022: Central Elections Committee, 1,115,336 votes.
- 27
- Count so far 80% range 26 to 27
- 22.5
- Final poll average Each pollster's last poll, scaled to 120 seats
- 19–21
- Final polls Lowest to highest of the last polls of 7 pollsters Channel 14 and i24NEWS, kept apart: 26–30
- 32
- In 2022 23.4% of the vote
- 36
- Last Knesset Seats at dissolution, July 17, 2026
Provisional until the Central Elections Committee certifies the result. This line then shows the official seats by itself.
Campaign recordEvery poll since the Knesset dissolved, drawn and tabulated
Final poll average, 22.5 Projection from the count, 27 The other 7 publishers, joined Channel 14 and i24NEWS, which the site’s alternative average leaves out 2022 result
| Published | Pollster | Seats |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Kan 11 | 20 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Channel 12 | 21 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Channel 14 | 30 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Maariv | 20 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Channel 12 | 21 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Channel 13 | 19 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Channel 14 | 31 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | i24NEWS | 27 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Kan 11 | 21 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Walla | 21 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Maariv | 19 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Zman Yisrael | 23 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Kan 11 | 20 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Channel 12 | 20 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Channel 14 | 30 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Channel 13 | 18 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Channel 14 | 31 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | i24NEWS | 27 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Israel Hayom | 20 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Zman Yisrael | 22 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Maariv | 18 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Channel 12 | 20 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Channel 13 | 18 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Channel 14 | 32 |
| Sep 24, 2026 | i24NEWS | 27 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Maariv | 18 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Zman Yisrael | 21 |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Kan 11 | 21 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Channel 13 | 19 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Channel 14 | 32 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Zman Yisrael | 21 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | i24NEWS | 28 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Maariv | 19 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kan 11 | 21 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Channel 12 | 21 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Channel 13 | 20 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Channel 14 | 31 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | i24NEWS | 26 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Israel Hayom | 21 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Zman Yisrael | 20 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Maariv | 20 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kan 11 | 20 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Channel 12 | 20 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Channel 14 | 29 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Walla | 20 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | i24NEWS | 27 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Channel 13 | 18 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Zman Yisrael | 20 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Maariv | 18 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | i24NEWS | 25 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Kan 11 | 21 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Channel 12 | 21 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Channel 13 | 18 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Channel 14 | 30 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | i24NEWS | 26 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Walla | 19 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Channel 12 | 19 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Channel 13 | 19 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Channel 14 | 30 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Channel 14 | 30 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Israel Hayom | 21 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Maariv | 19 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Zman Yisrael | 21 |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Channel 12 | 21 |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Channel 13 | 19 |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Kan 11 | 20 |
66 polls from 9 publishers, Sep 6, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026. A dot on the floor is a poll that had the list below the threshold; a gap is a poll that did not report it separately.
- 57% traditional
- 32% secular
- 10% national-religious
- 1% Haredi
- Won 46.5% of traditional voters
- Won 20% of secular voters
IDI, Jun 28, 2026.
| Dimona | 50.9% |
|---|---|
| Tirat Karmel | 46.1% |
| Or Yehuda | 45.7% |
| Eilat | 43.7% |
| Kiryat Atta | 42.8% |
| Nationally | 23.4% |
| Haifa | 20.9% |
| Jerusalem | 19.1% |
| Tel Aviv-Yafo | 17.0% |
| Bnei Brak | 3.4% |
Central Elections Committee, 25th Knesset results by locality. Nationally 23.4%. The five strongest localities with at least 15,000 valid votes; below the national line, the three biggest cities and the weakest place with 50,000 or more valid votes, for comparison.
Where they stand
Seven questions the site puts to every list. Tap a tile for the party’s words and source.
Bar colour: the stance’s place in the issue’s range of answers, from dark red at one end of the debate to dark green at the other, shared across all lists. The economy’s options coexist, so its bar is a pale tint with an ink outline, not a step on that range. Squares: one slot per answer, in the same order, with the party’s square in its own; a square in the last slot means no answer. Dotted inner border: not said publicly, from the record; open the tile to see why.
Haredi draft. Should Haredi yeshiva students be drafted?
"Likud chose not to respond to inquiries from ynet and Yedioth Ahronoth regarding the draft law." In July 2025, Communications Minister Shlomo Karhi said the coalition was "fighting here for a historic conscription law that will conscript about 17,000 young Haredi men within three years."
On the record, because the party did not answer the questionnaire. Ynet, Sep 16, 2026; Times of Israel, Jul 23, 2025
Same recorded stance: Religious Zionism–ZehutOtzma Yehudit
Likud: seven issues; choose a tile to read the party’s words and source.
Who they are
- Founded Sept 13, 1973 by Begin and Sharon; won power in 1977 with 43 seats. (IDI party page)
- Netanyahu has led it since 2005 (and 1993–99). The Aug 17, 2026 primary put Eli Cohen first; Netanyahu used reserved slots to move hardliners down. (Times of Israel, Aug 18, 2026)
- No written 2026 platform; Likud “does not participate in questionnaires.” (Ynet, Sep 30, 2026)
- Surplus-vote partner: Religious Zionism (signed Oct 6). (Jerusalem Post, Oct 6, 2026)
Surplus agreement with Religious Zionism–Zehut: both lists are on course to pass the threshold.
Who votes for them
- First-time voters (18–22): 14%, behind Yashar's 16%. (N12/Midgam via JPost, Sep 23, 2026)
Names on the list
- No. 2Eli Cohen, won the primaryOn track to enter at the current projection
- No. 9Talik Gvili, mother of Ran Gvili, the last hostage returnedOn track to enter at the current projection
- No. 11Yaakov Bardugo, Channel 14 commentatorOn track to enter at the current projection
Marks follow the count so far. Each name shows Elected or Not elected once the result is official.
JPost and i24, Sep 8, 2026
Pledges to be tested in coalition talks
- “A strong right-wing government led by me.” (JPost, Sep 8, 2026)
- Petitioned to bar the Joint List; Likud, Shas and UTJ representatives voted to bar the Joint List and Ra'am. (Times of Israel, Sep 23, 2026)
- Ben-Gvir will be a senior minister in future government. (Haaretz, Oct 19, 2026)
In their words
“There is no straight. Yashar is a bluff. There's either left or right… Do you want a Palestinian state? (or) do you want a Jewish state?”
The leader
Benjamin Netanyahu. Born 1949. Prime minister 1996–99, 2009–21 and since December 2022, the longest-serving in Israel's history. The first serving prime minister to face criminal charges in court; his trial opened May 24, 2020, and he asked for a pardon on November 30, 2025 (Al Jazeera, Dec 29, 2022; May 24, 2020; Nov 30, 2025).
Bio source: Each bio names its sources in parentheses.
Party MapParty family treeOfficial ballot entryCoalition Builder