Israel Votesישראל בוחרת

Projection from the count so far · Coalition talks tracker

עם

Ra'am

Led by Mansour Abbas (Yoav Segalovitz no. 2)

Joint List and Ra'am7 Seats · Estimate Entered

Projection from the count so far · Estimate · Current

Updated 02:05 from the count file of 01:51 · Checked: Oct 29, 02:05 Israel time

Source

One coherent 120-seat allocation; uncertainty ranges are separate.

At a glance
7
Projection from the count so far
Estimate
5
Seats in 2022
4.1% of the vote, as Ra'am (United Arab List)
9 of 9
Campaign record · Polls it passes
never near the threshold
18 seats
Joint List and Ra'am
a possible partner, not a governing bloc on its own; this list is second of 2

Campaign record: Average over the latest poll from each of 9 pollsters, Oct 20 to Oct 23, 2026, weighted by sample size and scaled to 120 seats. Without Channel 14 and i24NEWS, the two the site’s alternative average leaves out: 5.4. 2022: Central Elections Committee, 194,047 votes.

Result against the polls
7
Count so far
80% range 7 to 7
5.6
Final poll average
Each pollster's last poll, scaled to 120 seats
5–7
Final polls
Lowest to highest of the last polls of 7 pollsters Channel 14 and i24NEWS, kept apart: 6
5
In 2022
4.1% of the vote
5
Last Knesset
Seats at dissolution, July 17, 2026

Provisional until the Central Elections Committee certifies the result. This line then shows the official seats by itself.

Campaign recordEvery poll since the Knesset dissolved, drawn and tabulated
Seats in every poll since the Knesset dissolved
Kan 11, Sep 6, 2026: 6 seatsChannel 12, Sep 7, 2026: 4 seatsChannel 14, Sep 7, 2026: 5 seatsMaariv, Sep 8, 2026: 5 seatsChannel 12, Sep 9, 2026: 4 seatsChannel 13, Sep 9, 2026: 6 seatsChannel 14, Sep 9, 2026: 6 seatsi24NEWS, Sep 9, 2026: 5 seatsKan 11, Sep 9, 2026: 5 seatsWalla, Sep 9, 2026: 5 seatsMaariv, Sep 11, 2026: 5 seatsZman Yisrael, Sep 11, 2026: 5 seatsKan 11, Sep 14, 2026: 5 seatsChannel 12, Sep 15, 2026: 4 seatsChannel 14, Sep 15, 2026: 5 seatsChannel 13, Sep 16, 2026: 6 seatsChannel 14, Sep 17, 2026: 5 seatsi24NEWS, Sep 17, 2026: 5 seatsIsrael Hayom, Sep 17, 2026: 5 seatsZman Yisrael, Sep 17, 2026: 6 seatsMaariv, Sep 18, 2026: 5 seatsChannel 12, Sep 22, 2026: 5 seatsChannel 13, Sep 23, 2026: 5 seatsChannel 14, Sep 23, 2026: 5 seatsi24NEWS, Sep 24, 2026: 6 seatsMaariv, Sep 25, 2026: 5 seatsZman Yisrael, Sep 25, 2026: 6 seatsKan 11, Sep 28, 2026: 5 seatsChannel 13, Oct 1, 2026: 5 seatsChannel 14, Oct 1, 2026: 5 seatsZman Yisrael, Oct 1, 2026: 5 seatsi24NEWS, Oct 2, 2026: 5 seatsMaariv, Oct 2, 2026: 5 seatsKan 11, Oct 4, 2026: 5 seatsChannel 12, Oct 5, 2026: 5 seatsChannel 13, Oct 7, 2026: 6 seatsChannel 14, Oct 7, 2026: 5 seatsi24NEWS, Oct 8, 2026: 5 seatsIsrael Hayom, Oct 8, 2026: 5 seatsZman Yisrael, Oct 8, 2026: 5 seatsMaariv, Oct 9, 2026: 5 seatsKan 11, Oct 11, 2026: 5 seatsChannel 12, Oct 12, 2026: 5 seatsChannel 14, Oct 12, 2026: 5 seatsWalla, Oct 12, 2026: 5 seatsi24NEWS, Oct 13, 2026: 6 seatsChannel 13, Oct 14, 2026: 6 seatsZman Yisrael, Oct 15, 2026: 5 seatsMaariv, Oct 16, 2026: 6 seatsi24NEWS, Oct 18, 2026: 6 seatsKan 11, Oct 18, 2026: 5 seatsChannel 12, Oct 19, 2026: 5 seatsChannel 13, Oct 19, 2026: 6 seatsChannel 14, Oct 20, 2026: 6 seatsi24NEWS, Oct 20, 2026: 6 seatsWalla, Oct 20, 2026: 6 seatsChannel 12, Oct 21, 2026: 5 seatsChannel 13, Oct 21, 2026: 6 seatsChannel 14, Oct 21, 2026: 6 seatsChannel 14, Oct 22, 2026: 6 seatsIsrael Hayom, Oct 22, 2026: 5 seatsMaariv, Oct 22, 2026: 5 seatsZman Yisrael, Oct 22, 2026: 5 seatsChannel 12, Oct 23, 2026: 5 seatsChannel 13, Oct 23, 2026: 7 seatsKan 11, Oct 23, 2026: 5 seats

Final poll average, 5.6 Projection from the count, 7 The other 7 publishers, joined Channel 14 and i24NEWS, which the site’s alternative average leaves out 2022 result

Ra'am: seats in each poll since the Knesset dissolved
PublishedPollsterSeats
Sep 6, 2026Kan 116
Sep 7, 2026Channel 124
Sep 7, 2026Channel 145
Sep 8, 2026Maariv5
Sep 9, 2026Channel 124
Sep 9, 2026Channel 136
Sep 9, 2026Channel 146
Sep 9, 2026i24NEWS5
Sep 9, 2026Kan 115
Sep 9, 2026Walla5
Sep 11, 2026Maariv5
Sep 11, 2026Zman Yisrael5
Sep 14, 2026Kan 115
Sep 15, 2026Channel 124
Sep 15, 2026Channel 145
Sep 16, 2026Channel 136
Sep 17, 2026Channel 145
Sep 17, 2026i24NEWS5
Sep 17, 2026Israel Hayom5
Sep 17, 2026Zman Yisrael6
Sep 18, 2026Maariv5
Sep 22, 2026Channel 125
Sep 23, 2026Channel 135
Sep 23, 2026Channel 145
Sep 24, 2026i24NEWS6
Sep 25, 2026Maariv5
Sep 25, 2026Zman Yisrael6
Sep 28, 2026Kan 115
Oct 1, 2026Channel 135
Oct 1, 2026Channel 145
Oct 1, 2026Zman Yisrael5
Oct 2, 2026i24NEWS5
Oct 2, 2026Maariv5
Oct 4, 2026Kan 115
Oct 5, 2026Channel 125
Oct 7, 2026Channel 136
Oct 7, 2026Channel 145
Oct 8, 2026i24NEWS5
Oct 8, 2026Israel Hayom5
Oct 8, 2026Zman Yisrael5
Oct 9, 2026Maariv5
Oct 11, 2026Kan 115
Oct 12, 2026Channel 125
Oct 12, 2026Channel 145
Oct 12, 2026Walla5
Oct 13, 2026i24NEWS6
Oct 14, 2026Channel 136
Oct 15, 2026Zman Yisrael5
Oct 16, 2026Maariv6
Oct 18, 2026i24NEWS6
Oct 18, 2026Kan 115
Oct 19, 2026Channel 125
Oct 19, 2026Channel 136
Oct 20, 2026Channel 146
Oct 20, 2026i24NEWS6
Oct 20, 2026Walla6
Oct 21, 2026Channel 125
Oct 21, 2026Channel 136
Oct 21, 2026Channel 146
Oct 22, 2026Channel 146
Oct 22, 2026Israel Hayom5
Oct 22, 2026Maariv5
Oct 22, 2026Zman Yisrael5
Oct 23, 2026Channel 125
Oct 23, 2026Channel 137
Oct 23, 2026Kan 115

66 polls from 9 publishers, Sep 6, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026. A dot on the floor is a poll that had the list below the threshold; a gap is a poll that did not report it separately.

Ra'am (United Arab List)’s share of the valid vote, 2022, by locality
Sakhnin 29.1%Tamra 36.5%Shefa-Amr 20.2%Haifa 0.8%Nazareth 21.4%Bnei Brak 0.0%Tel Aviv-Yafo 0.7%Jerusalem 0.3%Rahat 64.2%
Rahat64.2%
Tamra36.5%
Sakhnin29.1%
Nazareth21.4%
Shefa-Amr20.2%
Nationally4.1%
Haifa0.8%
Tel Aviv-Yafo0.7%
Jerusalem0.3%
Bnei Brak0.0%

Central Elections Committee, 25th Knesset results by locality. Nationally 4.1%. The five strongest localities with at least 15,000 valid votes; below the national line, the three biggest cities and the weakest place with 50,000 or more valid votes, for comparison.

Where they stand

Seven questions the site puts to every list. Tap a tile for the party’s words and source.

Bar colour: the stance’s place in the issue’s range of answers, from dark red at one end of the debate to dark green at the other, shared across all lists. The economy’s options coexist, so its bar is a pale tint with an ink outline, not a step on that range. Squares: one slot per answer, in the same order, with the party’s square in its own; a square in the last slot means no answer. Dotted inner border: not said publicly, from the record; open the tile to see why.

Courts. Should power shift from the courts to the Knesset and government?

Declined to give a current position; in 2023 it opposed the law abolishing the reasonableness standard and other measures to shift power from the courts.

On the record, because the party did not answer the questionnaire. Ynet, Sep 22, 2026

Same recorded stance: The DemocratsJoint List

Compare every list on this question

Ra'am: seven issues; choose a tile to read the party’s words and source.

Who they are

  • Founded in 1996; rooted in the Southern Branch of the Islamic Movement. In 2021 it became the first Arab party to formally join an Israeli governing coalition. (IDI; JPost, Sep 1, 2026)
  • In Dec 2025 Abbas said Ra'am was becoming “a completely civic party, with separate institutions,” cutting ties with the Islamic Shura Council: “we are not a part of the Muslim Brotherhood.” (Times of Israel, Dec 7, 2025; Aug 22, 2026)
  • Barred by the Elections Committee Sept 23, 18–5; reinstated unanimously by the Supreme Court Oct 2. (Times of Israel, Sep 23; JPost, Oct 1 and Oct 2, 2026)
  • Surplus-vote partner: Joint List (signed Sept 11). (Walla, Sep 12; Ynet, Sep 11, 2026)

Surplus agreement with Joint List: both lists are on course to pass the threshold.

Who votes for them

  • 2022: 194,047 votes, 4.1%, 5 seats. (IDI, accessed Oct 5, 2026)
  • Took 35.2% of the Arab and Druze vote in 2022, and 73.9% in the Negev. (IDI, Dec 25, 2022)
  • Strongholds: the Negev and the Triangle; now seeking Christian and Druze voters, with a 7–8 seat target. (Ynet, 2026)

Names on the list

  • No. 1Mansour AbbasOn track to enter at the current projection
  • No. 2Yoav Segalovitz, Jewish former police commander; joined Aug 31On track to enter at the current projection
  • —Walid Taha, on the Aug 22 slate; final slot not confirmed

Marks follow the count so far. Each name shows Elected or Not elected once the result is official.

JPost; Times of Israel, Aug 31, 2026

Pledges to be tested in coalition talks

  • Open to any coalition, including one led by Likud. (Times of Israel)
  • Eisenkot said Sept 26 that Abbas “won't be part of my next government.” Segalovitz: “Eisenkot won't have a government without Ra'am.” (Times of Israel, Sep 26, 2026)

In their words

“I am going to an Arab party. They are not coming to me.”
Yoav Segalovitz. JPost, Sep 6, 2026

The people

Mansour Abbas. Ra'am chair; the first leader of a majority-Arab party to join an Israeli government, in 2021 (JTA, Jul 19, 2022).

Yoav Segalovitz (no. 2). Jewish, 67. Founded and commanded the police's Lahav 433 unit and headed its Investigations and Intelligence Division; deputy public security minister 2021–22. Second on Ra'am's slate (Times of Israel, Aug 16, Aug 31 and Sep 17, 2026).

Bio source: Each bio names its sources in parentheses.

Party MapParty family treeOfficial ballot entryCoalition Builder

Sources79ShowHide
  1. Maariv / Lazar poll, fieldwork Sep 30–Oct 1, 2026, published Oct 2, 2026, via Jerusalem Post: jpost.com/israel-election-2026/article-910396.
  2. Channel 13 poll, published Oct 1, 2026 (n=1,013), via Times of Israel liveblog. Reservists–Economic polled below the threshold.
  3. Zman Yisrael / Tatika poll, published Oct 1, 2026 (n=500, margin ±4.4).
  4. Kan 11 poll, published Sep 28, 2026, via Jerusalem Post: jpost.com/israel-election-2026/article-909918. Kan did not report Shas or UTJ separately. The listed parties add up to 106, so Shas and UTJ together hold 14 (our arithmetic: 120 − 106).
  5. Channel 14 / Next Data / Filber poll, published Oct 1, 2026, via skarim.org. Sep 23 and Sep 28 polls also cited; figures marked date-uncertain are the latest in our register without a date.
  6. Kan 11 / Kantar poll, fieldwork Sep 6, 2026, published Sep 6, 2026 (n=551), via Kan 11: kan.org.il/content/kan-news/politic/1096840/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  7. Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Sep 7, 2026, published Sep 7, 2026 (n=1,057), via Channel 14: c14.co.il/article/1693697. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  8. Channel 12 / Midgam R&C poll, fieldwork Sep 7, 2026, published Sep 7, 2026 (n=503), via Channel 12: mako.co.il/news-israel-elections/2026/Article-067c7eb8e9c70a1026.htm. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  9. Maariv / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Sep 7–8, 2026, published Sep 8, 2026 (n=600), via The Jerusalem Post: jpost.com/israel-election-2026/article-907949. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  10. Channel 13 / MP+TM+SN+A poll, fieldwork Sep 9, 2026, published Sep 9, 2026 (n=1,119), via Channel 13: 13tv.co.il/item/news/politics/politics/z10wm-905351997/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  11. i24NEWS / Direct Polls poll, fieldwork Sep 9, 2026, published Sep 9, 2026 (n=1,054), via i24NEWS: i24news.tv/he/news/israel-elections-2026/polls/artc-a92f58d0. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  12. Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Sep 9, 2026, published Sep 9, 2026 (n=537), via Channel 14: c14.co.il/article/1697000. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  13. Walla / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Sep 9, 2026, published Sep 9, 2026 (n=506). Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  14. Kan 11 / Kantar poll, fieldwork Sep 9, 2026, published Sep 9, 2026 (n=554), via Kan 11: kan.org.il/content/kan-news/politic/1098105/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  15. Channel 12 / Midgam R&C poll, fieldwork Sep 9, 2026, published Sep 9, 2026 (n=504), via Channel 12: mako.co.il/news-israel-elections/2026/Article-c27dc00e8c680a1026.htm. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  16. Maariv / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Sep 9–10, 2026, published Sep 11, 2026 (n=601), via Maariv: maariv.co.il/news/politics/article-1365318. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  17. Zman Yisrael / Yossi Tatika poll, fieldwork Sep 9–10, 2026, published Sep 11, 2026 (n=500), via Zman Yisrael: zman.co.il/723041/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  18. Kan 11 / Kantar poll, fieldwork Sep 14, 2026, published Sep 14, 2026, via Kan 11: kan.org.il/content/kan-news/politic/1099439/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  19. Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Sep 15, 2026, published Sep 15, 2026 (n=483), via Haredim 10: ch10.co.il/en/news/1101859/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  20. Channel 12 / Midgam R&C poll, fieldwork Sep 14, 2026, published Sep 15, 2026, via Channel 12: mako.co.il/news-israel-elections/2026/Article-16f5b846bd3a0a1026.htm. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  21. Channel 13 / MP+TM+SN+A poll, fieldwork Sep 15, 2026, published Sep 16, 2026 (n=886), via Channel 13: 13tv.co.il/item/news/politics/politics/uo4p5-905360485/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  22. Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Sep 17, 2026, published Sep 17, 2026 (n=817), via Channel 14: c14.co.il/article/1706627. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  23. i24NEWS / Direct Polls poll, fieldwork Sep 17, 2026, published Sep 17, 2026 (n=519), via i24NEWS: i24news.tv/he/news/israel-elections-2026/polls/artc-5b0e5baa. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  24. Israel Hayom / Kantar poll, fieldwork Sep 16–17, 2026, published Sep 17, 2026 (n=551), via Israel Hayom: israelhayom.co.il/news/politics/article/21444759. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  25. Zman Yisrael / Yossi Tatika poll, fieldwork Sep 16–17, 2026, published Sep 17, 2026 (n=500), via Zman Yisrael: zman.co.il/725468//. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  26. Maariv / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Sep 16–17, 2026, published Sep 18, 2026 (n=600), via Maariv: maariv.co.il/news/politics/article-1368599. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  27. Channel 12 / Midgam R&C poll, fieldwork Sep 22, 2026, published Sep 22, 2026 (n=501), via Channel 12: mako.co.il/news-israel-elections/2026/Article-fad59e819c9c0a1027.htm. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  28. Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Sep 23, 2026, published Sep 23, 2026 (n=647), via Channel 14: c14.co.il/article/1711606. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  29. Channel 13 / MP+TM+SN+A poll, fieldwork Sep 23, 2026, published Sep 23, 2026 (n=1,503), via Channel 13: 13tv.co.il/item/news/politics/politics/hcp4l-905367553/?pid=98577. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  30. i24NEWS / Direct Polls poll, fieldwork Sep 24, 2026, published Sep 24, 2026 (n=537), via i24NEWS: i24news.tv/he/news/israel-elections-2026/polls/artc-5d1d4577. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  31. Zman Yisrael / Yossi Tatika poll, fieldwork Sep 23–24, 2026, published Sep 25, 2026 (n=500), via The Times of Israel: timesofisrael.com/netanyahus-coalition-and-rival-change-bloc-draw-level-in-latest-toi-poll/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  32. Maariv / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Sep 23–24, 2026, published Sep 25, 2026 (n=610), via The Jerusalem Post: jpost.com/israel-election-2026/article-909659. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  33. i24NEWS / Direct Polls poll, fieldwork Oct 1, 2026, published Oct 2, 2026 (n=504), via Haredim 10: ch10.co.il/en/news/1105029/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  34. Kan 11 / Kantar poll, fieldwork Oct 4, 2026, published Oct 4, 2026 (n=553), via Kan 11: kan.org.il/content/kan-news/politic/1105927/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378604815).
  35. Channel 12 / Midgam R&C poll, fieldwork Oct 5, 2026, published Oct 5, 2026, via Arutz Sheva: israelnationalnews.com/news/434161. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378756845).
  36. Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Oct 7, 2026, published Oct 7, 2026 (n=2,175), via Channel 14: c14.co.il/article/1728516. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1379241507).
  37. Channel 13 / MP+TM+SN+A poll, fieldwork Oct 7, 2026, published Oct 7, 2026 (n=1,013), via Channel 13: 13tv.co.il/item/news/politics/politics/survey-905386103/?pid=985778. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1379241507).
  38. Israel Hayom / Kantar poll, fieldwork Oct 7–8, 2026, published Oct 8, 2026 (n=555), via Israel Hayom: israelhayom.co.il/news/politics/article/21444759. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1379241507).
  39. Zman Yisrael / Yossi Tatika poll, fieldwork Oct 7–8, 2026, published Oct 8, 2026 (n=500), via Zman Yisrael: zman.co.il/731622/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1379386113).
  40. i24NEWS / Direct Polls poll, fieldwork Oct 7, 2026, published Oct 8, 2026 (n=504), via i24 News: i24news.tv/he/news/israel-elections-2026/polls/artc-fa0f56f4. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1379386113).
  41. Maariv / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Oct 7–8, 2026, published Oct 9, 2026 (n=700), via Maariv: maariv.co.il/news/politics/article-1375198. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1379386113).
  42. Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Oct 12, 2026, published Oct 12, 2026 (n=538), via Haredim10: ch10.co.il/en/news/1107207/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1379952737).
  43. Kan 11 / Kantar poll, fieldwork Oct 11, 2026, published Oct 11, 2026 (n=553), via Kan 11: kan.org.il/content/kan-news/politic/1108256/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1380109781).
  44. Walla / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Oct 12, 2026, published Oct 12, 2026 (n=601), via Walla: walla.co.il/news/politics/383957251. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381389461).
  45. Channel 12 / Midgam R&C poll, fieldwork Oct 12, 2026, published Oct 12, 2026 (n=509), via Channel 12: mako.co.il/news-israel-elections/2026/Article-cc91389788031a1026.htm. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381389461).
  46. Channel 13 / MP+TM+SN+A poll, fieldwork Oct 14, 2026, published Oct 14, 2026 (n=1,018), via Channel 13: 13tv.co.il/item/news/politics/politics/survey-905396904/?pid=106628. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381389461).
  47. Zman Yisrael / Yossi Tatika poll, fieldwork Oct 14–15, 2026, published Oct 15, 2026 (n=500), via The Times of Israel: timesofisrael.com/toi-poll-eisenkot-opens-up-big-lead-on-netanyahu-but-both-blocs-short-of-majority/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381389461).
  48. Maariv / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Oct 14–15, 2026, published Oct 16, 2026 (n=700), via The Jerusalem Post: jpost.com/israel-election-2026/article-911902. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381389461).
  49. Kan 11 / Kantar poll, fieldwork Oct 18, 2026, published Oct 18, 2026 (n=554), via Kan 11: kan.org.il/content/kan-news/politic/1110393/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381389461).
  50. Channel 13 / MP+TM+SN+A poll, fieldwork Oct 19, 2026, published Oct 19, 2026 (n=1,016), via Channel 13: 13tv.co.il/item/news/politics/politics/jw3wm-905406894/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381389461).
  51. Channel 12 / Midgam R&C poll, fieldwork Oct 19, 2026, published Oct 19, 2026 (n=507), via Channel 12: mako.co.il/news-israel-elections/2026/Article-a6eb664b9d451a1026.htm. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381389461).
  52. Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Oct 20, 2026, published Oct 20, 2026 (n=2,116), via Channel 14: c14.co.il/article/1746819. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381389461).
  53. i24NEWS / Direct Polls poll, fieldwork Oct 13, 2026, published Oct 13, 2026 (n=1,210), via i24 News: i24news.tv/he/news/israel-elections-2026/polls/artc-b9e16632. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381477545).
  54. i24NEWS / Direct Polls poll, fieldwork Oct 18, 2026, published Oct 18, 2026 (n=525), via i24 News: i24news.tv/he/news/israel-elections-2026/polls/artc-81805. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381477545).
  55. i24NEWS / Direct Polls poll, fieldwork Oct 20, 2026, published Oct 20, 2026 (n=521), via i24 News: i24news.tv/he/news/israel-elections-2026/polls/artc-91da6024. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381477545).
  56. Walla / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Oct 19, 2026, published Oct 20, 2026 (n=601), via Walla: walla.co.il/news/politics/383958175. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381477545). Amcha Yisrael 2.9% (below the threshold) added by hand from the Wikipedia row, 2026-10-23; the import had dropped it.
  57. Channel 13 / MP+TM+SN+A poll, fieldwork Oct 21, 2026, published Oct 21, 2026 (n=1,084), via Channel 13: 13tv.co.il/item/news/politics/politics/ksgoq-905411865/?pid=106628/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381477545).
  58. Channel 12 / Midgam R&C poll, fieldwork Oct 21, 2026, published Oct 21, 2026 (n=505), via Channel 12: mako.co.il/news-israel-elections/2026/Article-bf175ad340f51a1027.htm. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381477545).
  59. Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Oct 21, 2026, published Oct 21, 2026 (n=1,954), via Channel 14: c14.co.il/article/1748686. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381477545).
  60. Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Oct 22, 2026, published Oct 22, 2026 (n=7,937), via Channel 14: c14.co.il/article/1750553. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381477545).
  61. Zman Yisrael / Yossi Tatika poll, fieldwork Oct 21–22, 2026, published Oct 22, 2026 (n=500), via Zman Yisrael: zman.co.il/735649/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381477545).
  62. Maariv / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Oct 19–22, 2026, published Oct 22, 2026 (n=1,048), via Maariv: maariv.co.il/news/elections-2026/article-1380289. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381577859).
  63. Israel Hayom / Kantar poll, fieldwork Oct 22, 2026, published Oct 22, 2026, via Israel Hayom: israelhayom.co.il/news/politics/article/21694000. Entered by hand 2026-10-24 from Israel Hayom's publication of Oct 23 (fieldwork Oct 22) as listed on Wikipedia's polling page and in ice.co.il's report (https://www.ice.co.il/research/news/article/1134739); no sample size published. Amcha Yisrael not reported.
  64. Kan 11 / Kantar poll, fieldwork Oct 23, 2026, published Oct 23, 2026 (n=1,006), via Kan 11: zman.co.il/live/735892/. The final Kan 11 poll (Kantar), published Friday Oct 23 before the blackout; entered by hand 2026-10-24 from Zman Yisrael's live report, ynet's roundup (https://www.ynet.co.il/news/elections2026/article/hy500sxt2mx; sample 1,006, margin 3%, Amcha Yisrael 2.9%) and Haaretz's live blog (sample given there as 1,106; its Democrats figure of 9 makes 121 seats and is a transcription error: Kan's table has 8, and the Eisenkot bloc total of 52 that every source reports requires it). Not yet on Wikipedia.
  65. Channel 12 / Midgam R&C poll, fieldwork Oct 22–23, 2026, published Oct 23, 2026 (n=1,018), via Channel 12: mako.co.il/news-israel-elections/2026/Article-8ea5e45ec2961a1027.htm. The final Channel 12 poll (Midgam with iPanel), published Friday Oct 23 before the blackout; entered by hand 2026-10-24 from Channel 12's own report (1,018 respondents, margin 4.4%; Haredi Public 0.5%, Noam 0.5%). Not yet on Wikipedia.
  66. Channel 13 / MP+TM+SN+A poll, fieldwork Oct 23, 2026, published Oct 23, 2026 (n=1,875), via Channel 13: zman.co.il/live/735899/. The final Channel 13 poll (the HaMadad consortium), published Friday Oct 23 before the blackout; entered by hand 2026-10-24 from Zman Yisrael's live report and ynet's roundup (https://www.ynet.co.il/news/elections2026/article/hy500sxt2mx; 1,875 respondents, margin 2.3%; Haredi Public 1.3%). Haaretz's live blog gives the sample as 1,084. Not yet on Wikipedia.
  67. Kan 11 exit poll poll, fieldwork Oct 27, 2026, published Oct 27, 2026, via Times of Israel liveblog: timesofisrael.com/liveblog-october-27-2026/. Kan 11 exit poll, first version at the close of polls (Times of Israel liveblog entry 22:09). Reservists–Economic and Amcha Yisrael below the threshold. Kan says it will update the poll every 30 minutes; later versions are separate rows. Entered by hand.
  68. Channel 13 exit poll poll, fieldwork Oct 27, 2026, published Oct 27, 2026, via JNS; Haaretz live blog: jns.org/israeli-election-exit-polls. Channel 13 exit poll, first version at the close of polls (Times of Israel liveblog entry 22:06). JNS and Haaretz agree on every party; blocs 50/53/17 match the Times of Israel liveblog (https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-october-27-2026/). Reservists–Economic and Amcha Yisrael below the threshold. Entered by hand.
  69. Channel 12 exit poll poll, fieldwork Oct 27, 2026, published Oct 27, 2026, via JNS: jns.org/israeli-election-exit-polls. Channel 12 exit poll, first version at the close of polls (Times of Israel liveblog entry 22:03). Party figures from JNS; they match the Times of Israel liveblog figures for Likud 24, Yashar 22, B’Yachad 12 and the Joint List 11 and its blocs 50/52/18. Haaretz’s live blog gives Yisrael Beytenu 7, Shas 6 and UTJ 7, which make 117 seats and contradict its own bloc totals; JNS’s figures are used. Reservists–Economic and Amcha Yisrael below the threshold. Entered by hand.
  70. Channel 12 exit poll poll, fieldwork Oct 27, 2026, published Oct 27, 2026, via Times of Israel liveblog: timesofisrael.com/liveblog-october-27-2026/. Channel 12 exit poll, updated version (Times of Israel liveblog entry 22:44): Democrats 9 to 10, Yisrael Beytenu 9 to 8, every other list as in the first version (from JNS); blocs unchanged at 50 and 52, matching the liveblog. Entered by hand.
  71. Channel 12 exit poll poll, fieldwork Oct 27, 2026, published Oct 27, 2026, via Times of Israel liveblog; ynet news flashes: timesofisrael.com/liveblog-october-27-2026/. Channel 12 exit poll, third version (Times of Israel liveblog entry 02:17): Likud 24 to 27, Yashar 22 to 21, Joint List 11 to 12, Democrats 10 to 9, Shas 8 to 7, Yisrael Beiteinu 8 to 7; every other list unchanged from the 22:44 version. Sums to 120; blocs 52/49/19 as reported by the Times of Israel and ynet. Entered by hand.
  72. Channel 14 exit poll poll, fieldwork Oct 27, 2026, published Oct 27, 2026, via JNS: jns.org/israeli-election-exit-polls. Channel 14 exit poll, at the close of polls (in the Times of Israel liveblog roundup at 22:44; air time not stated). Party figures from JNS; they sum to 120 and give the Netanyahu bloc 60, opposition 43 and Arab lists 17, as the Times of Israel reports. ynet gives Religious Zionism 9 and UTJ 9, which make 124; JNS is used. Reservists–Economic and Amcha Yisrael below the threshold (Times of Israel, ynet). Shown apart from the other channels and not in the forecast. Entered by hand.
  73. i24NEWS exit poll poll, fieldwork Oct 27, 2026, published Oct 27, 2026, via i24NEWS: i24news.tv/en/news/israeli-elections/artc-i24news-exit-poll-likud-wins-27-seats-yashar-20-coalition-bloc-reaches-55-seats-opposition-49-and-arab-parties-16. i24NEWS exit poll at the close of polls (air time not stated; in the Times of Israel liveblog roundup at 23:58). Party figures from i24NEWS; they sum to 120 and give the Netanyahu bloc 55, the opposition 49 and the Arab lists 16, as i24NEWS and the Times of Israel both report. Ofer Winter's Reservists–Economic list below the threshold (i24NEWS). Shown apart from the other channels and not in the forecast. Entered by hand.
  74. Channel 13 exit poll poll, fieldwork Oct 27, 2026, published Oct 27, 2026, via Haaretz live blog; ynet; Times of Israel liveblog: timesofisrael.com/liveblog-october-27-2026/. Channel 13 exit poll, updated version (Times of Israel liveblog entry 22:57): B’Yachad 14 to 13, Joint List 10 to 11, every other list unchanged. Full table from Haaretz’s live blog (sums to 120); the two changes as reported by ynet; blocs 50/52/18 as reported by the Times of Israel. Entered by hand.
  75. Channel 13 exit poll poll, fieldwork Oct 27, 2026, published Oct 27, 2026, via ynet news flashes: ynet.co.il/news/category/184. Channel 13 exit poll, third version (ynet flash 'עדכון למדגם חדשות 13: שוויון בין הגושים'): Likud 25 to 27, Yashar 23 to 22, UTJ 7 to 6, every other list unchanged from the 22:57 version. Sums to 120; blocs 51/51/18 match the flash. ynet gave no air time: 01:14 is when we saw it. Entered by hand.
  76. Kan 11 exit poll poll, fieldwork Oct 27, 2026, published Oct 27, 2026, via Times of Israel liveblog: timesofisrael.com/liveblog-october-27-2026/. Kan 11 exit poll, updated version (Times of Israel liveblog entry 23:11): B’Yachad 14 to 13, Joint List 10 to 11, every other list as in the first version; blocs 50/52/18, as the liveblog reports for Kan, Channel 12 and Channel 13. Entered by hand.
  77. Kan 11 exit poll poll, fieldwork Oct 27, 2026, published Oct 27, 2026, via ynet news flashes: ynet.co.il/news/category/184. Kan 11 exit poll, third version (ynet flash 'עדכון מדגם כאן 11: שוויון בין הגושים, הליכוד עולה ל-27 מנדטים'): Likud 25 to 27, Otzma Yehudit 7 to 6, Democrats 10 to 9, Yashar 21 unchanged; every other list as in the 23:11 version. Sums to 120 and gives the tie the flash reports (51/51/18). ynet gave no air time: 01:40 is approximate, when we saw it. Entered by hand.
  78. Party profiles (history, voters, positions, list names, pledges, surplus partners, quotes): research registers compiled Oct 22, 2026, from the sources named next to each item (Israel Democracy Institute, Times of Israel, Jerusalem Post, Ynet, JTA, INN, Al Jazeera, Maariv and others). Quotes are translated from Hebrew where needed, and each names its source.
  79. Leader bios: Each bio names its sources in parentheses.

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